- The 2022 NCAA Tournament continues with the Round of 32 starting on Saturday, March 19th.
- With quite a few upsets during the first round, what carnage may occur in the second round?
- Read below for analysis on the Round of 32 slate, plus against the spread picks for several weekend games.
After a bedlam start to the March Madness Bracket, here at SBD we look to give it a go with the Round of 32. It will be intriguing to see if we can fatten our wallets come Sunday night after a solid Round of 64.
This weekend’s second round slate brings four more games to sweat as we take a closer look. Let’s see who we pick to make the Sweet Sixteen
March Madness Picks for Second Round (March 19-20)
|North Carolina vs Baylor||BAY (-5.5)||UNC (+5.5)|
|Michigan vs Tennessee||TEN (-6)||TEN (-6)|
|Richmond vs Providence||PROV (-3)||RICH (+3)|
|Memphis vs Gonzaga||GON (-10.5)||GONZ (-10.5)|
Odds as of Mar. 18th at Barstool and Caesars Sportsbook.
Our SBD picks are rolling a split with two underdogs and two favorites. We even went bold enough with a double-digit favorite as we ride the other side of Gonzaga. In Round One, we took the underdog Georgia State to cover and they did by a whisker.
North Carolina (+5.5) to Cover vs Baylor
North Carolina is currently a 5.5-point underdog, a number that the SBD Formula disagrees with. The SBD Formula is predicting a North Carolina cover, but a narrow Baylor win.
Let’s talk about the thumpers first. My #TarHeels were one the meanest teams on St. Patty’s Day, destroying Marquette by 32 pts. @BaylorMBB may have trounced their 16 by the widest margin of any1, but methinks maybe their Bear paws are shaking in their boots even @ home in TX
— Commentatoring Nerd (@CommentatoringN) March 18, 2022
With how well Carolina played, especially in that first half, Baylor may have a tough time on Saturday especially early. North Carolina certainly will not go away like most teams have this year.
The Tar Heels graded out probably the best out of any team in Round 1. Did anyone expect them to come out and thump Marquette in the first half? When Carolina went up 20, that signified they were going to be one of those teams that could give a Baylor all they can handle.
The way this game goes further sideways for Baylor is if they get off to a slow start. When Kansas drilled them by more than 20, Baylor could not make a shot early. Carolina has the defense to do that. We saw that in Round One. The other question is Brady Manek and Caleb Love.
RT @AP_Top25: Brady Manek scored 28 points, Caleb Love had 21 of his 23 before halftime and North Carolina routed Marquette 95-63 in first-year coach Hubert Davis’ NCAA Tournament debut. #MarchMadness https://t.co/Gwzo6gP6Vj
— Michael Miller—5229 Cornell Ave, El Paso, TX 79924 (@CarnageMovie) March 18, 2022
Another reason to believe North Carolina can keep this close is the athleticism from said guards. A little March Madness betting strategy goes a long way. No one expects Carolina to score 53 points in the first half but they will need to score 35-40 minimum to keep up with Baylor early.
Ultimately, 5.5-points seems like a hair too much. North Carolina can score and their interior presence is underrated enough along with their transition to give Baylor fits all game long.
Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5, 1 unit
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Richmond (+2.5) to Cover vs Providence
Our next target is the Spiders as a 2.5-point underdog versus the Friars. According to the SBD Formula, this line is slightly off. The prediction here is a tooth and nail game that could go either way. Ultimately, the formula tabs Providence to win by a single point.
The 12 seed Richmond Spiders just upset the 5 seed Iowa Hawkeyes.
Nope. Just College Basketball.
— Ivan (@ivancanfield) March 17, 2022
This will be one of those back and forth tight games because of the way Richmond plays pace-wise (291st in NCAA). To be fair, both teams play in the mid-60’s and this may just go how the Richmond-Iowa game did to a tee. Jacob Gilyard and the Spiders held Iowa to just 36.4% shooting from the field. They are capable of that against a Providence team who can struggle mightily.
The other variable is interior play. Can Nate Watson and Noah Horchler control the boards over Tyler Burton and Grant Gordon? That may be what ultimately settles this game.
Also need to highlight 2nd Team All-A10 Player Tyler Burton
Burton leads Richmond in Field Goal Attempts, Points and Rebounds pic.twitter.com/j3TxSUfJAW
— Let’s Talk Big East Hoops (@Hoops2College) March 18, 2022
The Spiders have a greater implied winning probability than the Tar Heels this weekend (43.3% compared to 33.3%). Among the March Madness game odds, Richmond seems to possess the best chances to cover and one can make a case they can win outright to get to the Sweet 16.
Pick: Richmond Spiders +3, 1 unit
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