Broncos Super Bowl Odds Now 14-1 After Seattle and Denver Agree to Blockbuster Russell Wilson Trade

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  • Russell Wilson has been traded to the Denver Broncos, which has significantly shortened Denver’s Super Bowl 57 odds
  • Denver was 22-1 to win it all prior to the deal, and now sits with a +1400 price tag
  • Read below for analysis on the Broncos’ championship prospects, plus how the deal affects Seattle’s Super Bowl futures

Russell Wilson finally got his wish. After numerous rumblings over the past two off-seasons that Wilson wanted out of Seattle, the Seahawks agreed to trade him to Denver on Tuesday for a king’s ransom. Reportedly heading back to Seattle from the Broncos is stud tight end Noah Fant, QB Drew Lock, and defensive lineman Shelby Harris, as well as a slew of draft picks, including two first rounders.

The trade will go down as one of the biggest in NFL history and caused quite the shift in the NFL futures market.

Super Bowl 57 Odds

Team Odds
Buffalo Bills +750
Kansas City Chiefs +750
Green Bay Packers +1000
Los Angeles Rams +1200
Denver Broncos +1400
San Francisco 49ers +1400
Dallas Cowboys +1600
Cincinnati Bengals +2000
Baltimore Ravens +2000
Los Angeles Chargers +2200
Tennessee Titans +2200
New England Patriots +2500
Arizona Cardinals +2500
Indianapolis Colts +2500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2800
Minnesota Vikings +3500
New Orleans Saints +4000
Cleveland Browns +4000
Philadelphia Eagles +4000
Las Vegas Raiders +5000
Pittsburgh Steelers +5000
Miami Dolphins +5000
Carolina Panthers +6000
Atlanta Falcons +6000
Washington Commanders +6000
Chicago Bears +7500
Seattle Seahawks +7500
New York Giants +10000
Jacksonville Jaguars +12500
Detroit Lions +15000
New York Jets +15000
Houston Texans +20000

Odds as of March 8th at Caesars Sportsbook

Denver’s Super Bowl 57 odds have been shortened from +2200 to +1400, making them a top-five contender. The Seahawks’ championship price tag meanwhile, has been lengthened from +4000 to +7500, making them one of the biggest longshots on the board.

The deal cannot officially be completed until Wednesday, May 16th at 4:00 pm ET, which officially marks the start of the 2022 league year. Wilson will also need to waive his no trade-clause and pass a physical, but barring any unforeseen circumstances, he’s now the face of the Broncos.

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Denver Broncos Betting Analysis

The root of Denver’s offensive problems last season were almost exclusively the result of poor quarterback play. They ranked 23rd in points per game and 19th in passing yards per game, while Teddy Bridgewater and Lock combined to throw only 20 touchdowns.

Obviously, Wilson’s arrival immediately elevates the Broncos’ offensive ceiling, as does the hiring of Nathanial Hackett. Denver’s new head coach was a big part of Green Bay’s offensive success over the past few years, and he should implement a much more aggressive, pass-friendly system than the Broncos experienced under Vic Fangio.

That must be music to Wilson’s ears, who’s been stuck playing in an archaic offensive system in Seattle, that failed to maximize his talents as well as the talents of all-world receivers DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

Denver is now a top-three contender to win the AFC at +700, and +240 to win the AFC North. In both instances, they rank behind rival Kansas City (as well as Buffalo in the AFC odds), which is justified. The Chiefs are a more talented team top to bottom, but the addition of Wilson puts the Broncos on a near level playing field with KC, which hasn’t been the case thus far in the Patrick Mahomes era.

If taking shots in the divisional odds market, I’d rather the upside and discount on the LA Chargers at +425 to come out of the AFC West, but Denver is definitely now going to be a factor.

Russell Wilson MVP Analysis

As far as Wilson’s stock in the NFL MVP odds, oddsmakers believe he has a much better chance of winning the award with the Broncos than with the Seahawks, despite an arguably weaker supporting cast. Wilson’s MVP price tag was shortened from +3000 to +1500 following the trade, making him a top-six contender.

Even though Metcalf and Lockett are a more feared wide receiver duo than Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton, Wilson was never going to win an MVP playing in Seattle. The Seahawks’ offensive game plan was too conservative and run heavy.

Now, armed with a more progressive head coach and quality weapons in Jeudy, Sutton, KJ Hamler, and Javonte Williams out of the backfield, Wilson can potentially finally reach his ceiling as a thrower. He has the upside for 4,500 passing yards and 40+ touchdowns, he just needs to be put in a system that can maximize his talents. At the moment, it looks like Denver could be that situation.

Seattle Seahawks Betting Analysis

Replacing Wilson won’t be easy for Seattle. He led them to their only Super Bowl victory and posted the most wins ever by a quarterback in their first 10 years in the league.

Getting Lock back in the deal does offer them some flexibility at the position. Lock has plenty of starting experience and if the Seahawks are about to enter a full blown rebuild mode, like this trade suggests, they shouldn’t be too interested in winning games in 2022.

The bevy of draft picks also affords them the opportunity to trade up for a QB next month at the draft, should they fall in love with one.

It’s important to note that Metcalf is not a lock to be in Seattle next year, and rumors are already starting about Lockett’s potential departure as well.

The Seahawks Super Bowl odds have cratered accordingly, and they wouldn’t even be bettable at twice their current number given their lack of a premiere QB, and the uncertainty surrounding their two most biggest playmakers.

The post Broncos Super Bowl Odds Now 14-1 After Seattle and Denver Agree to Blockbuster Russell Wilson Trade appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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Author: Stacy Hoffman