- Toronto FC hosts Philadelphia Union in MLS action on Saturday, April 16th
- Early league leader Philadelphia is the favorite here at +123
- Read on for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union odds, a full preview, and the best bet for Saturday’s match
Two teams in very different stages of their development lock horns at Toronto’s BMO Field on Saturday night. With the 2020 Supporters’ Shield already in its trophy cabinet, the Union are trying to add another and have made a convincing start to 2022, winning five and drawing its other game to move into the top five in the MLS Cup odds.
Meanwhile Toronto is in the early stages of the Bob Bradley experiment, with the well-travelled American coach attempting to bring the luster back to Canada’s most successful soccer club, with the team looking to push its unbeaten streak to four games in Week 7 of the MLS season.
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Odds
Odds as of April 16th at Barstool Sportsbook
As the lone remaining unbeaten team in MLS, Philadelphia has been rolling in 2022, rattling off five wins and one draw, and the bookies expect that form to continue here. But it won’t be a slam dunk, as the +123 odds of an away win indicate. And with Toronto FC starting to turn the corner under new head coach Bob Bradley, the +240 odds of a draw look enticing.
Over/Under and Spread
With odds of -129 on an over of 2.5 goals, goals are expected here, which might not be too surprising given that the two teams have combined for 19 goals between them in six games. Significantly though, Toronto has had trouble keeping them out of their net, conceding 11 so far – and has allowed at least one goal in a club-record 18 straight home games – while Philadelphia has easily the best defensive record in MLS, conceding just two.
Additionally, if you think TFC can make home-field advantage count against the early Supporters’ Shield leaders, you could back them at +220 on the spread at -0.5. For more on how that works, read our article on Asian Handicaps and point spreads.
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
After beginning the year taking just one point from the opening three games, TFC seems like it has turned a corner, going unbeaten in its past three, and winning both of its games at home, most recently a 2-1 victory over defending MLS Cup champion New York City FC.
— Toronto FC (@TorontoFC) April 2, 2022
Youth Movement In Full Effect At BMO Field
While new striker Jesus Jimenez has provided the desired cutting edge up front, scoring three goals in his fledgling TFC career, it is the younger players upon which any TFC turnaround will hinge. Academy graduates Kosi Thompson and Jayden Nelson, both 19, found the net last week, and Toronto will need more of the same from the likes of Ralph Priso and Jacob Shaffelberg to maintain any upward momentum.
A couple of Homegrowns doing us proud 🍁
— Toronto FC (@TorontoFC) April 10, 2022
Union In Red-Hot Form
While Philadelphia is the lone remaining unbeaten squad in MLS, its sizzling run of form actually dates back to last season, with the team last losing on September 19, 2021, and picking up a a league-best 35 points since then. Jim Curtin’s team will try to keep things rolling north of the border by extending its club-record win streak to a sixth straight game, and will also aim to keep a clean sheet for a fifth consecutive game.
Philadelphia Union four game winning streak:
8 goals for
1 goal against
3 clean sheets in a row
Daniel Gazdag goal in every game
Only goal allowed was off a ridiculous deflection
— Kevin Kinkead (@Kevin_Kinkead) April 3, 2022
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Dangerman Dan Gazdag
If Philly is looking for goals, it knows exactly where to find them. With goals in four straight weeks, designated player Danial Gazdag is starting to find his feet in MLS, having already matched the total he scored in all of last season.
Started off 🔥
— PhilaUnion (@PhilaUnion) April 14, 2022
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Team Lineups and Injuries
Toronto FC Projected Lineup: Bono; O’Neill, Mavinga, MacNaughton; Shaffelburg, Osorio, Bradley, Thompson; Nelson, Pozuelo; Jimenez
Toronto FC Injuries: Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty, Noble Okello, Ralph Priso.
Philadelphia Union Projected Lineup: Blake; Harriel, Glesnes, Elliott, Wagner; Martinez; Sullivan, Gazdag, Aaronson; Burke, Uhre.
Philadelphia Union Injuries: None.
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union 2022 MLS Stats
|2-2-2||2022 MLS Record||5-0-1|
|10.7||Expected Goals Against||4.5|
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Picks
With a leaky Toronto defense that has conceded almost two goals a game, combined with the absence of center back Carlos Saicedo, who is suspended after last weekend’s 2-2 draw in Salt Lake City, goals are a virtual certainty here.
Combined with Philadelphia’s recent run of form, it’s looking good for the Union, who are unbeaten in three straight matches against Toronto, losing just one of the last five to their Canadian rivals.
Best bets: Philadelphia (+123) and Over 2.5 goals (-129)
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