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Texas A&M vs Tennessee Odds and Picks for SEC Title Game

   Published Date: March 13, 2022
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  • Tennessee faces Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament Final on Sunday, March 13th
  • The underdog Aggies will be playing their fourth game in as many days
  • Read below for the Texas A&M vs Tennessee odds, analysis, and betting prediction

A Cinderella story is unravelling in the SEC Tournament and we’ll find out if the glass slipper fits for the 8th seeded Texas A&M Aggies(23-11, 20-13 ATS) on Sunday afternoon. To close out their improbable story, the Aggies will have to defeat the 2nd seeded Tennessee Volunteers (25-7, 19-13 ATS).

This tournament has been thrilling from the opening round and the final should be no different. It all tips off at 1:00 pm ET on Sunday, March 13th at Amalie Arena from Tampa, Florida. The game can be seen live on ESPN. The Volunteers are -7 point favorites against the 8th seeded Aggies

Regardless of who emerges victorious, the winner will be taking home their first conference tournament title in more than three decades. The Aggies’ last league tournament crown came in 1987, while Tennessee’s last SEC championship came in 1979.

Texas A&M vs Tennessee Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Texas A&M Aggies +230 +7 (-110) O 130.5 (-110)
Tennessee Volunteers -290 -7 (-110) U 130.5 (-110)

Odds as of March 12th at DraftKings Sportsbook

The stakes for this one are definitely higher for the Aggies. Although they have likely already secured a spot in the big dance, a win in the SEC final would guarantee an automatic bid. Meanwhile, Tennessee has already locked up a spot and the latest projected NCAA Tournament bracket has the Vols as a 3 seed in the South region.

Texas A&M Providing SEC Tournament Betting Value

If you’re an Aggies fan or have just been laying down cash on A&M from the outset of this tournament then you are rolling in the money. They were 9.5-point underdogs against SEC Championship odds favorite Auburn and stunned them 67-62 on Friday. They followed that with an 82-64 demolition of Arkansas on Saturday where they were 6-point dogs.

In fact, the Aggies have provided great betting value against the spread for a solid month now. They are 8-1 ATS over that period of time and have covered seven games in a row. To think, none of this would have been possible without a Hassan Diarra 3-pointer with 0.1 seconds left in overtime of the 2nd round against Florida. They were also 2.5-point dogs in that matchup.

A major reason for the Aggies’ tournament success up to this point has been the efficiency with which they’ve scored from long range. It’s been an unlikely source of offense, as Texas A&M shot just 32.6% from three-point range on the season. In three tournament games so far, they’re shooting 52%.

On the defensive side, they’ve limited the scoring success of their opponents from beyond the arc as they’ve held them to a combined 21.8%. In total, they have outscored the other teams 75-51 just off three pointers. Junior Guard Tyrece Radford is leading the charge from distance going an incredible 10-12 in the Aggies three tournament wins.

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Tennessee Volunteers Betting Analysis

The Volunteers were able to squeak out a tough semifinal win against Kentucky. Although, the Wildcats were the 3 seed in the SEC tournament they had the best odds to win it ahead of both Auburn and the Vols. Tennessee was up double digits at the half and withstood a late charge from Kentucky to hold on 69-62 and advance to the final.

The Volunteers won the only meeting against Texas A&M in the regular season 90-80 at home on February 1st. That began a stretch of 11 wins in 12 games entering Sunday’s action. They also rank a very impressive 10th in all of Division I basketball in the KenPom rankings with an overall adjusted efficiency margin of +24.80.

They’ve really excelled without the ball where they rank 3rd in the entire nation in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom with a score of 86.6. In their two tournament wins so far, they held their opponents to 59 and 62 points.

Part of that great defense is thanks to the thievery of guards Zakai Zeigler and Kennedy Chandler. The pair rank sixth and 31st nationally in steal percentage according to KenPom. The Aggies guards would be wise to be extra cautious with the ball.

Texas A&M vs Tennessee Pick

Coming into the SEC tournament, Texas A&M had the 8th best odds to win it all at +5000 and now, they are on the cusp of doing it. So far, they’ve knocked off the ninth, firth and fourth seeds and are looking for number two Tennessee to be the icing on the cake.

It’s an incredible turnaround for an Aggies team that lost 8 games in a row from January 19th to February 12th, all to conference opponents after they started conference play 4-0. They’re peaking at the right time now.

On the opposite end, Tennessee also comes into this championship contest playing terrific ball. Not only have they won 11 of their last 12, but they’ve also covered the spread in all those victories as well.

One key to the game to watch out for is the Aggies three point shooting against the Vols three point defense. Tennessee has held their two tournament opponents to just 21.6% from long range so far. Kentucky shot a porous 2-for-20 from beyond the arc in the semifinal, which is the main reason Tennessee advanced.

Something will have to give in this one.

Can the Aggies write one final chapter in this incredible SEC tournament story? Four games in four days won’t help matters out, and it will be tough for them to win outright, but this doesn’t feel like a blowout so take Texas A&M to cover +7 against Tennessee in the SEC tournament final.

Pick: Texas A&M Aggies +7 (-110)

The post Texas A&M vs Tennessee Odds and Picks for SEC Title Game appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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Author: Stacy Hoffman