- Memphis is an 11.5-point favorite over Temple on Thursday
- Temple is 8-3 straight up and ATS in its last 11 games
- Read below for the Temple vs Memphis odds, analysis, and betting prediction
Memphis (15-9, 9-5 American Athletic) is an 11.5-point home favorite over Temple in an AAC game at 7:00 pm ET Thursday on ESPN2. The Tigers, who had a six-game winning streak broken in a loss at SMU on Sunday, are playing their first home game since Feb. 9.
Temple (15-9, 8-5 American Athletic) is playing its fourth game in the five. Its only home game in that stretch was a 64-57 home victory over SMU last Wednesday. This is the only meeting between the two contenders in the 11-team AAC.
Temple vs Memphis Odds
|Temple Owls||+450||+11.5 (-110)||Over 138.5 (-110)|
|Memphis Tigers||-650||-11.5 (-110)||Under 138.5 (-110)|
Odds from BetMGM on Feb. 23.
Memphis is an 11.5-point favorite over Temple with the total set at 138.5, the biggest number Temple has seen and the lowest Memphis has seen in AAC play.
Memphis is -650 on the moneyline, which means the Tigers have a 86.7% implied win probability. Temple is +450 on the moneyline, which translates into an 18.2% win probability.
While Temple needs a miracle run tot he AAC title to make the NCAA Tournament, Memphis garnered a #10 seed in the most-recent projected March Madness bracket. Their odds to make the FInal Four are a respectable +4000, which is among the top-40 favorites.
Memphis Balancing on the Bubble’s Edge
Because of a six-game winning streak that included a victory at No. 14 Houston, Memphis finds itself inside the NCAA Tournament field of 68 in some recent projections while sitting just outside the field in others.
The Tigers are listed as one of the last four in in ESPN’s recent bracket projection, with AAC leader Houston the only other league representative. Even though SMU swept Memphis, the Mustangs are among ESPN’s first four out.
Bubble Watch season pic.twitter.com/lpLQ704hbO
— Barstool Bench Mob (@stoolbenchmob) February 22, 2022
Memphis’s case is bolstered by nonconference victories over Alabama, Saint Louis and Virginia Tech, although a loss to Georgia is a negative. The Tigers are No. 44 in the NCAA Net rankings and have three Quad 1 victories. Houston has none. SMU has two.
Temple’s best non-conference victory is at Vanderbilt on Dec, 7, and its recent victory over SMU comes with an asterisk — the Mustangs played without star guard Kendrick Davis because of an ankle injury. Davis returned against Memphis. The Owls must win the AAC tournament to make the NCAA but a win here could severely damage Memphis’s chances.
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— Alex ✨Alo✨ Lomax (@iamalo02) February 12, 2022
Owls, Tigers Count on Freshmen
Penny Hardaway landed what some scouting services considered the best recruiting class in the nation when he added 6’11 Jalen Duren and 6’9 Emoni Bates, and Temple has been led by a group of holdover freshmen led by 6’5 Damian Dunn.
I’m still completely in on Jalen Duren
Just watch how fast he is end to end lol. And then to be able to gather and dunk this? The flashes are very much there pic.twitter.com/8zrs1Ano8U
— Draft Dummies (@DraftDummies) February 16, 2022
Duren leads the Tigers in scoring (11.4) and rebounding (7.5) and has three of his five double-doubles since Feb. 5, including a 14/11 game in the victory over Houston He averages 2.3 blocked shots per game, 30th in Division I, and has been named the AAC freshman of the week four times.
Bates (10.4, 3.6) is the Tigers’ second-leading scorer, although he has missed the last five games with a back injury and is considered questionable for final four regular-season games. Sometime forward starter Earl Timberlake (shoulder) is questionable for Temple.
Khalif Battle goes down for the year, Damian Dunn & co. steps up. Dunn & Williams go down for a couple of games, Tai Strickland & co. steps up.
The story of the 2021-22 Temple Owls has been resiliency. https://t.co/9dQ9Mlsef1
— Jonah A Wooten (@jonahwootentv) February 21, 2022
The Owls have the second-youngest roster in Division I according to KenPom, and their most frequent starting group consists of four second-year freshmen including Dunn (15.5 points), point guard 6’5 Jeremiah Williams (9.8) and forward 6’8 and Nick Jourdain (7.3, 5.6 rebounds). Williams (shoulder) has missed the last three games and is questionable.
Dunn, who missed two games with a leg injury, came off the bench for the first time this season and had 11 points in 75-71 victory at Cincinnati the last time out Sunday. First-time starter 6’2 Tai Strickland had 11 points after scoring a career-high 27 off the bench against SMU on Feb. 16.
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Auburn’s Jabari Smith rises to No. 1, but the top three continues to shuffle as March Madness approaches 👀
From @krystenpeek ⤵️
— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) February 21, 2022
Temple vs Memphis Head-to-Head Results
Memphis is 3-1 straight up and ATS in the last four meetings, although the teams have not met since Feb. 5, 2020, after both games last season were cancelled because of Covid-19. Temple was 5-3 straight up and 7-1 ATS in previous eight game, dating to the formation of the AAC in the 2013-14 season.
The Tigers have won and covered the last two at the FedEx Forum and are 3-1 in the last four there. Four of the last five games in Memphis have gone under the total.
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Both teams are tending up. Memphis is 6-1 straight up and 5-2 ATS in its last seven, and Temple is 8-3 straight up and ATS in its last 11.
The Owls are 15-9 ATS this season, 9-4 in AAC play and 5-2 as a road underdog in the league. Memphis is 7-13-1 ATS as a favorite, 5-5-1 as a home favorite. Seven of Temple’s last nine games have gone under the total, and six of Memphis’s last 10 have gone under.
Temple vs Memphis Prediction
While Memphis seems to have hit its stride and is playing the way oddsmakers figured early, Temple has covered the the last six games in which it was an underdog of at least eight points. That is enough to take the Owls, who are still in the mix for a first round bye in the AAC tournament.
The pick: Temple +11.5 (-110)
The post Temple vs Memphis Odds, Lines and Spread (Feb. 24) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.