Purdue vs Michigan State Picks and Odds (Feb. 26)

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  • Purdue is a three-point road favorite over Michigan State on Saturday
  • Purdue is tied for the lead in the Big Ten with Wisconsin
  • A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

#4 Purdue will try to keep its spot atop the Big Ten standings when it visits skidding Michigan State at 12 p.m. ET Saturday at the Breslin Center in East Lansing.

Purdue (24-4 overall/13-4 Big Ten/5-3 road) is tied for first place with Wisconsin and visit the Badgers on Tuesday night. The Boilermakers beat Rutgers 84-72 on Sunday to run their winning streak to three games and improve to 9-1 in their last 10 games.

Michigan State (18-9 overall/9-7 Big Ten/10-3 home) has lost three in a row and five of six after getting thumped at Iowa 86-60 on Tuesday.

Purdue vs Michigan State Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Purdue -152 -3 (-110) Over 147 (-106)
Michigan State +126 +3 (-110) Under 147 (-114)

Odds as of February 25th at FanDuel.

Purdue is a three-point favorite in a game that will be televised by ESPN. The Boilermakers are -152 on the moneyline, giving them a 60.32% implied win probability.

Purdue Betting Outlook

Despite its straight-up success, Purdue is on a four-game losing streak against the spread. The Boilermakers are 13-14-1 against the number this season, including 3-4-1 as the away team.

Sophomore guard Jaden Ivey continued to burnish his credentials as a likely lottery pick in the win over Rutgers as he scored 25 points. Ivey made 15 of 18 free throw attempts while notching his 10th game of the season with at least 20 points.

Ivey is averaging 17.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.1 assists a game for Purdue, which leads the nation in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency with 124.5 points per 100 possessions.

Sophomore center Zach Edey leads the nation in field goal shooting at 67.9% and is averaging 14.5 points and 7.6 rebounds.

On Sunday, Edey contributed 15 points, seven rebounds and three assists. He has scored in double figures in eight straight games and 12 of the last 13.

Senior forward Trevion Williams added 11 points and four assists and senior guard Sasha Stefanovic chipped in with 11 points and three assists. Edey and Williams combined for 10-of-14 shooting with Edey going 5 for 6.

Williams has averages of 12.0 points, 7.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists. Stefanovic is scoring 11.6 and dishing 3.4 assists a game.

Sophomore forward Mason Gillis finished with 10 points and seven rebounds, giving him back-to-back double-digit scoring games for the first time this season.

Purdue shot 53.1% (26 of 49). The Boilermakers outscored Rutgers 9-1 to finish the first half for a 45-36 lead then scored the first 11 points of the second half.

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Michigan State Betting Outlook

Michigan State is also struggling ATS with three straight losses and six in the last seven games. Overall, the Spartans are 13-14 versus the number, 6-7 at home.

Junior forward Malik Hall was the only Michigan State player to score in double figures against Iowa as he had 17 points and five rebounds. The Spartans shot just 35.2% (25 of 71) and coach Tom Izzo said there would likely be lineup changes for Saturday’s game.

Hall, who is averaging 10.0 points, had been held scoreless in 16 minutes by Illinois in Michigan State’s previous game. He managed just three points in 23 minutes against Penn State in the game before that.

Iowa held senior forward Gabe Brown, the Spartans’ top scorer, without a point in 19 minutes on 0-of-7 shooting. While he has an 11.4 season average, Brown is scoring 6.6 points a game and shooting 31.9% in his last 10 games.

Michigan State trailed 46-32 at halftime then fell behind by as many as 32 points, 84-52, with 3:11 remaining. The Spartans led for just the first 21 seconds of the game.

The Spartans are leading the Big Ten with 13.7 turnovers a game.

Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction

Purdue has won the last four games in the series, though the teams haven’t played since Feb. 16, 2021.

The Boilermakers prevailed 75-65 at home in that one as Williams had 28 points, six rebounds and three assists. Ivey added 11 points, five points and three assists and Edey had 10 points and five rebounds.

Michigan State is skidding but look for Izzo to light a fire under the Spartans while the Boilermakers possibly get caught looking ahead to Wisconsin.

  • The Pick: Michigan State +3 (-110)

The post Purdue vs Michigan State Picks and Odds (Feb. 26) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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Author: Stacy Hoffman