The Oklahoma Sooners (14-10, 4-7 Big 12) — who are coming off a win against one of the better teams in the country — aim to hand a second straight loss to the No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks (19-4, 8-2 Big 12) in college basketball Saturday at Allen Fieldhouse. Tip off is at 1:00 pm ET on CBS.
|Oklahoma||+400||+11 (-110)||O 142 (-105)|
|Kansas||-550||-11 (-110)||U 142 (-115)|
Odds as of February 11th, 2022 at DraftKings
Kansas is an 11-point favorite over Oklahoma, while the total is 142. The -550 moneyline price for the Jayhawks amounts to an 84.6% implied win probability, while Oklahoma’s +400 odds to win is equal to 20% implied probability.
Porter Moser’s team picked up its fourth victory against a ranked opponent this season with the 15-point win over the Red Raiders. Senior guard Umoja Gibson was on fire from downtown, scoring a game and season-high 30 points (keyed by an 8-of-11 performance from beyond the arc).
Meantime, Bills Self’s crew is still atop the conference standings despite a third straight loss to the Longhorns. KU was outscored 7-0 in the final minute as Ochai Agbaji, the Big 12’s leading scorer, finished with just11 points — nearly 10 points below his average.
Kansas Has Dominated Oklahoma in Recent H2H Results
Not surprisingly, the Jayhawks have had the better of the Sooners recently. KU has beat OU in five of the last six matchups, including a narrow 67-64 decision in Norman on Jan. 18. But following OU’s big win against Texas Tech, the Sooners head into Saturday’s tilt against the Jayhawks brimming with confidence.
Wednesday’s performance by Gibson — a North Texas transfer — was truly special. He’s one of only two players (senior forward Tanner Groves being the other) that average double-figures for Moser.
But, make no mistake — Oklahoma has struggled this season. Since getting out to an 11-2 start that included wins over Florida and Arkansas, Oklahoma has gone 3-8 with the only victory away from the Lloyd Noble Center coming against West Virginia on Jan. 26. Scoring the ball has been an issue for the Sooners over the 11-gtame stretch, putting up no more than 79 points in any of the contests. One bright spot for OU: it ranks fifth in offensive 2-point field goal percentage.
One factor the Sooners need to be careful of? They are rated 336th in offensive turnover percentage. Facing an angry Kansas squad — at home — will be a daunting task. OU also had no answer for Agbaji down the stretch in the last meeting. The senior guard scored all 10 of his points in the final six minutes as KU won by three.
Kansas is 4-6 ATS in Big 12 Play
While the Jayhawks boast an 8-2 record in conference play, Self’s group has gone 4-6 against the spread this season. The latest ATS — and straight up — defeat came Monday against the Longhorns.
Agbaji will obviously be a key in this one. He’s second in the conference and sixth nationally in 3-point field goal percentage (45.6%). But he’s far from Self’s only weapon. Junior guard Christian Braun is the only other Jayhawk averaging double-figures (15.1 ppg), while David McCormack and Jalen Wilson are each grabbing around seven rebounds an outing.
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KU is one of the truly elite teams in the country from an offensive efficiency perspective, rating third in that category in all of college basketball. Three of Kansas’ four losses (Texas Tech, Kentucky and Texas) have come against teams rated in the top-15 by KenPom.
Oklahoma vs Kansas Prediction
While Kansas may lack multiple double-digit scorers, Self’s roster is loaded with talent (as always) Meantime, Oklahoma has had its moments this season. But it has lacked consistency.
Considering the Jayhawks are coming off a tough loss to Texas — and had a couple extra days to stew about it — KU is the pick in this spot.
Pick: Kansas -11 (-110)