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Michigan vs Wisconsin Odds, Lines and Spread (Feb. 20)

   Published Date: February 20, 2022
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  • No. 15 Wisconsin is a 3-point favorite over Michigan on Sunday, Feb 20
  • Michigan is 4-2 straight up, 3-3 ATS in its last six
  • Read below for analysis and a betting prediction

No. 15 Wisconsin (20-5, 11-4 Big Ten) is a 3-point home favorite over Michigan in a Big Ten game at 1 pm ET Sunday on CBS in the only meeting between the two this season. The Badgers are 12-3 straight up and 8-7 ATS since a loss at Ohio State on Dec. 11.

Michigan (14-10, 8-6 Big Ten) is 7-4 straight up and 5-6 ATS since returning from a Covid-19 pause in mid-January that forced the postponement of games against Michigan State and Purdue. The Wolverines beat Purdue in the rescheduled game on Feb. 10.

Michigan vs Wisconsin Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Michigan Wolverines +130 +3 (-120) Over 138.5 (-105)
Wisconsin Badgers -150 -3 (-100) Under 138.5 (-115)

Odds from DraftKings on Feb.19

Wisconsin is a 3-point favorite over Michigan with the total set at 138.5, among the highest numbers the Badgers have seen this season. Wisconsin is -150 on the moneyline, which means the Badgers have a 59.2% implied win probability. At +130 on the moneyline,  Michigan has a 45.5% implied win probability.

 

Badgers’ Davis Has POY Resumè

In a conference full of Big Ten and Wooden Award player of the year, candidates, Wisconsin’s Johnny Davis has played himself onto the short list, although it was hard to see until the games began. Davis did not start any of the Badgers’ 31 games a year ago.

A sleek 6’5 sophomore guard, Davis is averaging 20.7 points, 8.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, one of the few players in Division I who leads his team in all three categories. Davis scored the final 13 Wisconsin points in a 74-69 victory at Indiana on Tuesday. The Badgers trailed 66-61 with 3:52 left.

Davis is third in the league in scoring behind Iowa power forward Keegan Murray (23.3) and Illinois center Kofi Cockburn (21.4). Cockburn leads the league in rebounding (11.3), and Murray (8.4) and Davis (8.3) rank third and fourth.

DraftKings lists Davis and Murray at +1200 to win the Wooden Award, tied for the fourth-best odds. Cockburn (+600) is second.

Davis has played big  big games. He had 37 points in 74-69 victory over No. 5 Purdue on Jan. 3, 30 points in a 65-63 win over No. 14 Houston on Nov. 23 and 30 in a 74-65 over Indiana the last time out Tuesday, adding 12 rebounds for his fifth double-double.

UM in NCAA Tournament Field … Today

Wisconsin is a lock to make the NCAA tournament, and Michigan is among the several Power Six programs that can control its destiny down the stretch.

The Wolverines’ 84-79 road win at Iowa on Thursday prompted ESPN to include them in their “last four in” category, along with North Carolina. Creighton and Memphis.

Early losses to Central Florida and Minnesota hurt, but the Wolverines have won eight of their last 11, losing only to Michigan State, Purdue and Ohio State, the first two on the road.

Michigan in No. 31 in the NCAA Net rankings, up six spots after its victory over Iowa, ahead of Marquette, Wake Forest and North Carolina, among others. The Wolverine lost to net No. 45 UNC in the Big Ten/ACC challenge Dec. 1.

The Wolverines have beaten Purdue and Iowa in a challenging stretch run that includes nine straight games against Big Ten first division teams, although four of the final five — Rutgers, Illinois, Michigan State, Iowa — are at Crisler Center.

 

Michigan vs Wisconsin Head-to-Head Results

Michigan has won and covered the last two and is 6-2 straight up and ATS in the last eight in the series, including a victory in the 2017 tournament title game as the No. 8 seed over the No. 2 seed Badgers.

The Wolverines won 66-59 victory in Madison last year to complete a season sweep, and they have won and covered two of the last three in Madison. Four of the last five games have gone under the total.

Betting Trends

Wisconsin has not been a value play since beating Northwestern Jon. 18, going 5-3 straight up but only 2-6 ATS, with both of the spread wins on the road.

The Badgers have failed to over their last four home games and are 5-8 ATS at home, all as a favorite. Michigan is 3-2 ATS as a road dog but is 5-8 ATS after a win. Wisconsin is 8-4 in Quad 1 games. Only Baylor Kansas (both nine) have more.

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Dickinson, Diabate Power Michigan

Sophomore center 7’1 center Hunter Dickinson leads Michigan in scoring (17.9) and rebounds (8.3), and he averaged 22.2 points during a recent nine-game stretch to help the Wolverines back into the bubble chase.

Freshman 6’11 Moussa Diabate (9.5 points, 5.8 rebounds) has joined Dickinson recently as a tandem force inside. Diabate had a career-high 28 points against Iowa, two games after his previous career high of 15 in the win over Purdue.

Diabate, ranked as the No. 11 recruit in the high school class of 2021, was 12 of 15 from the field against the Hawkeyes. Dickinson had 14 points, nine rebounds and a season-high seven assists. Guards Eli Brooks (13 points, five assists) and DeVante’ Jones (11 points, 10 rebounds, five assists) chipped in at Iowa.

Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction

Wisconsin will have the best player on the floor today, but … The Badgers’ offense is inconsistent after Johnny Davis, their bigs are not a good match against Dickinson and Diabate in their current form, and they are no bargain at home. Michigan has played well here in the recent past, and the Wolverines are the play here.

The pick: Michigan +3 (-120)

 

The post Michigan vs Wisconsin Odds, Lines and Spread (Feb. 20) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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Author: Stacy Hoffman